Russo-Ukrainian War, Day 871: Ukrainian forces thwart Russian attempt to expand front in Kharkiv

Exclusive

Military

Budanov: Russia’s attack on Ukraine from the north is already underwayKyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate, warned that the coming year would bring few positive developments as Russia plans and carries out new offensives in Ukraine.

ISW: Ukrainian armed forces want to regain the tactical initiativeThe scale of Ukrainian attacks and the possibility of a new offensive with operational significance will largely depend on the volume of military supplies from the West.

DeepState: Ukrainian forces thwarted Russian attempt to expand Kharkiv front and liberated a villageAt the same time, Russian troops advanced several hundred meters near four settlements in the Donetsk region.

Ukraine attacks Russian oil refinery in Rostov region49 firefighters and 14 pieces of equipment are working to extinguish the fire, a local Russian governor said.

Away July 13, 2024the approximate losses of weapons and military equipment of the Russian armed forces from the beginning of the invasion to the present day:

• Staff: 557770 (+1120)
• Tanks: 8199 (+8)
• APV: 15779 (+24)
• Artillery systems: 15216 (+58)
• MLRS: 1119
• Air defence systems: 889 (+1)
• Aircraft: 361
• Helicopters: 326
• Drone: 12069 (+34)
• Cruise missiles: 2397
• Warships/Boats: 28
• Submarines: 1
• Vehicles and fuel tanks: 20461 (+52)

Intelligence and technology

F-16s alone cannot win a war, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba tells CNNForeign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said that while the F-16s are crucial, they must be part of a larger arsenal to be truly effective against Russian forces.

Czech Republic will supply Ukraine with up to 100,000 grenades per month, says President PavelThe first delivery of grenades as part of the Czech initiative has already arrived in Ukraine.

International

Poland recognizes Russian deportation of Crimean Tatars in 1944 as genocideThis represents a significant step in the ongoing struggle for justice for the Crimean Tatars, who have suffered under both the Russian Empire and the current occupation of Crimea.

“Evil must always, always lose,” Zelensky said during a visit to the US National Governors Association.. Following the NATO summit in Washington and the meeting with President Biden, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky also visited representatives of both parties in both houses of the US Congress and the meeting of the US Association of Governors in Utah, as well as other meetings.

New British Defence Minister reaffirms full support for UkraineThe new government has confirmed the provision of £3 billion (over $3.6 billion) in aid to Ukraine annually until 2030.

Poland considers intercepting Russian missiles over Ukrainian airspacePolish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski has stated that Warsaw is examining a proposal from Kyiv to shoot down Russian missiles heading towards Polish territory in Ukrainian airspace.

Humanitarian and social impacts

Russian double attack on Kharkiv Oblast leaves two dead and 22 injuredIn addition, five railway employees were injured.

Political and legal developments

VOA: Ukraine resumes efforts to ratify Rome Statute despite fears of Russian manipulationThe aim of the decision is to facilitate an international investigation into crimes committed on Ukrainian soil.

Ukraine calls on international media to use additional context when quoting statements by Russian politicians in light of dam threats from Kyiv and CherkasyOn July 12, Maria Zakharova claimed that Ukraine plans to destroy key dams and infrastructure in order to blame Russia. Ukraine strongly denies these allegations.

Dutch company has to pay a fine of 1.78 million euros for supporting the construction of the Crimean bridgeDieseko Group BV has paid fines totalling EUR 1.78 million for its involvement in the construction of the Crimean Bridge in 2015-2016.

Ukrainian diplomat resigns after billionaire husband’s “escape scandal” Emine Dzhaparova resigned from her post as Ukraine’s representative to international organizations in Vienna and denied all allegations against her billionaire husband, who is accused of evading possible financial fraud charges by illegally crossing the border using another person’s lost passport.

Read our previous daily review here.