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Israel calls on all residents of Gaza City to evacuate

Israel calls on all residents of Gaza City to evacuate

Semafor signals: Global insights into today’s biggest stories.

Despite Hamas’s concessions, chances of a ceasefire are dwindling

The return of the Israeli military to Gaza comes as confidence has faded that talks between Israel and Hamas officials could lead to a ceasefire and hostage deal. Hamas recently agreed to compromise on its demand that Israel commit to a permanent ceasefire. before further agreements, but Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated that Israel would not back down from its insistence on a “total victory” over Hamas. These non-negotiable points block “any possibility of progress from the Israeli side,” said a former Israeli hostage negotiator.

US support for Israel campaign rises slightly

Americans still tend to oppose Israel’s actions in Gaza, but a new Gallup poll shows that U.S. support for Israel’s operations has increased slightly since March. About 42% of U.S. adults approve of Israel’s campaign, up from 36% a few months ago. The increase is largely due to stronger approval among Republicans; their support rating for Israel’s operation, at 76%, is the highest since the Gaza war began. Fewer than 25% of Democrats, however, support Israel. Despite increased scrutiny and a diplomatic dispute over arms sales, the U.S. government remains Israel’s biggest supporter. But some leaders fear that Biden’s reluctance to take a more forceful stance toward Israel could jeopardize his reelection and stoke diplomatic discord between the U.S. and its allies, Politico reported.

Biden’s advisor becomes the most important Middle East diplomat

One of Biden’s most trusted national security advisers, Amos Hochstein, has emerged as a key figure in determining what happens on the Israeli-Lebanese border, the New York Times reported. Hochstein, who was born in Israel but also commands the respect of Hezbollah, has become Biden’s “diplomatic point man to prevent clashes across the Israeli-Lebanese border from escalating into a war that could be even more devastating than the conflict in Gaza,” the Times wrote. U.S. officials have warned that the likelihood of war with Hezbollah increases as Israel scales back its campaign against a weakened Hamas. Hochstein’s test will be to find a way to avoid that outcome.