The pleasant weather continues – The Michigan Weather Center
![The pleasant weather continues – The Michigan Weather Center The pleasant weather continues – The Michigan Weather Center](https://michigan-weather-center.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/091527_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind-7-7.png)
We have some scattered fog this morning, but it will clear up and the sun will bring us another pleasant day. Yesterday’s high/low was 75/60.
Rain chances increase throughout the first half of the week as the Gulf conveyor belt brings more moisture to the state. The remnants of Beryl bring us the best rain chances mid-week.
NWS forecast
Today
Sunny, high around 83 degrees. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 5 mph, decreasing.
Monday
30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high around 80°F. West southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Monday night
40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66°F. West southwest wind around 5 mph, becoming light in the evening.
Tuesday
30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, high temperature around 27 °C. Calm, west wind around 10 km/h in the afternoon.
Tuesday night
After 2am there is a 50% chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 63°C.
Wednesday
There is a chance of showers before 8am, showers are likely after that and a possible thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, with a chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, high around 25°C. The chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday night
A chance of showers before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low of around 61.
Thursday
Sunny, high around 81.
Thursday night
Mostly clear, lows around 60.
Friday
Sunny, high around 84°F.
Friday night
Mostly clear, lows around 63.
Saturday
Sunny, high around 86.
Weather forecast
1991: Tornadoes move through southern Lower Michigan. A tornado damaged about 20 homes near Highland in Oakland County. Additional damage occurred near Okemos in Ingham County, and a home and some outbuildings were damaged when a tornado moved northeast of Rockford in Kent County. A tornado also touched down briefly northwest of Plainwell in Allegan County, but caused no damage.
1988: The hot and dry summer of 1988 continues and Lower Michigan experiences another heat wave. Highs reach 100 degrees in Lansing and Grand Rapids on the 6th, followed by a record high of 98 degrees in Grand Rapids on the 7th.
On July 7, 2021, a series of severe storms passed through the Detroit metropolitan area, and there were numerous reports of tree and power line damage in Oakland and Macomb counties. These storms were accompanied by heavy rainfall, with some locations receiving over 1 inch of rain in about 30 minutes.
On July 7, 2012, temperatures in Detroit rose above 38 degrees for the second time in four days. This was the first time since 1988 that Detroit was warmer than 38 degrees twice in one year.
July 7, 2010 was also the hottest day during a five-day heat wave from July 4 to 8. Temperatures rose below 35 degrees Celsius in most areas, resulting in heat indices ranging from 35 degrees Celsius to about 38 degrees Celsius. There was little relief during the night hours, with lows at or above 21 degrees Celsius. Two heat-related deaths were reported.
Also on July 7, 1991, a strong derecho swept quickly eastward across southeast Michigan in the early evening hours, causing widespread wind damage and power outages. Wind gusts of 75 to 85 miles per hour were not uncommon in the Ann Arbor, Detroit, and Pontiac areas.
Discussion of the forecast
- Dry Sunday With Patchy Fog This Morning Nighttime microphysics imagery shows areas of fog and stratus have developed mainly north of I96 with other pockets on the Lake Michigan shoreline. Additional development will be focused on the region north of I96 and near/west of US131. Isolated pockets of dense fog cannot be ruled out. This fog will dissipate by mid- morning as solar heating ramps up. Dry weather is expected today as surface and mid-level ridging slide across the area. Expect beautiful weather in the form of partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the low 80s. - Shower/Storm Chances Return Sunday Night Low to moderate (20-40 percent) PoPs return to the forecast Sunday night as warm air advection triggers the chance for showers mainly north of a Holland to Mount Pleasant line. With HREF MUCAPE < 500 J/kg, thunder coverage will be isolated at worst. Highest PoPs will be up near Ludington where low-level isentropic ascent is best. Troughing slowly advances into the upper Great Lakes Monday, with weak impulses ahead of this trough, combined with diurnal enhancement from warm July sunshine, reinvigorating a chance (20-40 percent) of showers and storms Monday. The highest PoPs will be north of I96 where the best shortwave forcing tracks. Given a general MLCAPE <1000 J/kg and deep layer shear < 30 knots, thunderstorms should be garden variety storms. Highs will range from near 80 across the NW CWA where morning showers and cloud cover will be thickest to the upper 80s across the southern CWA where sunshine lasts longer. - Convergent, moist flow through the first half of the week The pattern for the upcoming week will be dominated by a building high pressure system over the intermountain west and the corresponding deep trough moving through the central CONUS that will bring convergent moist flow over the midwest this week. The upper level 500mb trough will become a conveyor belt for moisture. Through this timeframe there is a lack of organized convection, however, the warm air advection along with the streaming of gulf moisture should couple with the daytime July temperatures to create an environment for cloudy skies and daytime showers and afternoon storms. Have scattered POPs through this timeframe. Latest WPC QPF that includes Tuesday into Wednesday has around an inch to an inch an a half along the I 94 corridor. - Remnants of Beryl and an increase of warmth mid to late week The big story mid to late week is the track of Tropical Storm Beryl and its affects on the region as it becomes extra tropical. The previously mentioned trough will be the main steering mechanism for Tropical storm Beryl as it moves through the central United States. The latest National Hurricane Center track has Beryl barreling through the Mississippi and Ohio river valleys mid to late this upcoming week with the cone of uncertainty covering most of Michigan`s lower peninsula by 7 PM Thursday. The biggest concern will be heavy rain showers due to the Gulf moisture. The latest mid to long range models, including the various ensembles tracks some showers from the remnants of Beryl Wednesday and Thursday. There remains some uncertainty on the track and timing especially when it comes to where the low will move through. Much of the ensembles still has the low moving through Ohio through some operational runs bring much of the moisture over southern Michigan. Due to this have increased POPS through this timeframe. Temperatures this week will meander around the upper 70s through the early part of the week ending in the upper 80s into next weekend which is just above normal for July.