The Israeli armed forces are not prepared to fight 5,000 enemy drones and missiles
The Israeli Air Force (IAF) once again failed to protect the State of Israel on Thursday evening. According to the IDF, this failure was due to human error. The results show that although the UAV was detected, it was not classified as a threat, no alarm was raised, and no attempt was made to intercept it. The IAF’s response to Thursday’s incident raises significant doubts about the size and launch location of the UAV.
This is a serious event in many ways. What the public may not fully understand, however, is that the axis of evil is waging a war of attrition against the State of Israel. This axis, led by Iran, includes Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Their goal is to undermine the power of the Israeli armed forces through drone strikes and rocket barrages. Any damage to the Israeli home front is considered a victory for them.
It is important to recognize the looming threat of a major war. Experts estimate that around 5,000 drones and missiles of various types from different regions of the Middle East could target the Gush Dan region.
Realistic assessments of Israel’s capabilities
For more than nine months, the Israel Defense Forces, and in particular the Israeli Air Force, have been on high alert. We are coming to the end of an intense year that has compromised the Israeli Defense Forces’ ability to wage a large-scale, multi-theater war of higher intensity.
There are significant gaps between the threats and the solutions. A simple question makes this clear: what threats was the IAF built to meet over the past decade? The war between Russia and Ukraine offers many insights and lessons that must be implemented quickly. Not all solutions come from acquiring and developing new weapons. For example, Major General Tal Russo has opposed the fence on the Egyptian border in the past, saying: “Every shekel I have, I prefer to invest in the offense rather than the defense.”
The next threat is already here: UAV drones of various types. The emerging threat of drone swarms capable of mass attacks over large areas poses a huge challenge for modern Western armies. So far, I have not heard that the long-delayed multi-year plan of the Israel Defense Forces pays sufficient attention to these threats.
The Israel Defense Forces of 2024 will have to strive to break old concepts and develop new strategies. It is crucial to develop strength to meet future threats and overcome outdated ones.
This is one of the reasons why I believe the war in Gaza should continue until Hamas’s power is weakened.
The fighting should create a new security reality focused on the release of the hostages and avoid the need to divide our forces across multiple fronts. By concentrating our efforts in one area, we can strike harder.
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