Michigan, July 1, wheat and oat forecast

Higher wheat yields are expected in the state starting in 2023, while oat yields will remain stable

PUBLISHED ON July 15, 2024

EAST LANSING, Michigan — Michigan’s winter wheat production in 2024 is estimated to be 33.4 million bushels, down more than 28 percent from last year, according to Marlo D. Johnson, director of USDA NASS, Great Lakes Region. This report is based on conditions as of July 1, 2024. Here are some highlights from the Crop Production Report:

Michigan’s winter wheat yield is estimated at 89 bushels per acre, 2 bushels more than last month and 6 bushels more than last year. If that figure is reached, it would be a record yield. As of June 30, 44 percent of the crop was ripe, 26 points above the 5-year average. The crop was in better condition than last year, with 75 percent of the crop rated good to excellent, compared to 25 percent at the same time last year.

Michigan’s oat yield is estimated at 66 bushels per acre, unchanged from last year. As of June 30, 79 percent of the crop was in good to excellent condition, compared to 31 percent last year. As of June 30, 70 percent of the crop was ripe, 22 points below the 5-year average.

Nationally, winter wheat production is estimated at 1.34 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the previous forecast and 8 percent above 2023 in comparable states. Based on July 1 conditions, U.S. yields are estimated at 52.0 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushels from last month and 1.5 bushels above last year’s average yield in comparable states. Total acreage expected to be harvested for grain or seed is 25.8 million acres, unchanged from the acreage report released June 28, 2024, but up 5 percent from last year in comparable states. Record yields are forecast for 2024 in Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

U.S. oat production is estimated at 61.9 million bushels, 13 percent higher than 2023 in comparable states. Growers expect a grain harvest of 872,000 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but 9 percent higher than 2023 in comparable states. Based on July 1 conditions, the U.S. is forecast to yield a record 70.9 bushels per acre, 2.1 bushels more than the 2023 average in comparable states. If achieved, the forecast yield will reach record highs in Illinois and North Dakota.

The full July 1 Michigan grain forecast can be found here.

— USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service