Alternative ways to add value to MLB betting

Alternative ways to bet on the MLB

When betting, especially on MLB, you always hear people talk about shopping around and making sure you have multiple options to get the best price. In the long run, every penny counts, and getting the best possible odds can be the difference between a winning bettor and a losing one.

While many people check out different sportsbooks to get the best price, most don’t compare options from sites like Draftkings.com. Within each game, there are a variety of betting options and many of these bets are tied to other bets in some way. Here are some of my favorites that I look at when a commonly wagered number pays out.

Top MLB Resources:

When betting on the moneyline

Check: Home team hits in the bottom half of the 9^th

How to find it: Click on a game, click on “Game Props” and scroll 75% down.

I wrote about it a few weeks ago and it’s become one of my favorite games to play when I like an MLB home team that’s just too favorite. It offers a bet between the run line (-1.5) and the moneyline. The price is currently right between the two numbers when it’s posted. However, I’ve noticed that this line doesn’t move as quickly when a game is in favor of the favorite.

In several cases I was able to take as much as $0.85 off the moneyline when betting on a home favorite. This offers a much better option if you can play a favorite at -210 or wait for it to not hit on the bottom of the 9.^th at -125.

When betting on “Over”

Check: Total number of hits

How to find it: Click on any MLB game, click on “Game Props” and scroll down 20%.

This is another bet that is often ignored even when the total is skyrocketing. Since it is not directly tied to the total, you will see a play increase of between a half run and a full run, and yet the hit odds will not change or will be 0.05 to 0.10 cents more.

If you see a streamed total that you want to play but are late to the number, be sure to check both the total hits and the runs + hits + errors. These values ​​often show up late because they are not directly related from a price perspective, but are highly correlated.

When betting on “under”

Check: Total number of outs of the pitcher

How to find it: Click on any MLB game, click on “Pitcher Props” and scroll down 10%.

When most people, myself included, penalize MLB, it starts with the starting pitchers. Logically, it’s because people have confidence in those starting pitchers when unders are hit. That being said, you often see that the total number of outs for pitchers doesn’t move even though the under is tagged. I’ve seen a total lose a whole run and that number doesn’t move at all.

Again, there is no direct correlation between the outs a pitcher gets and the total, but when a game goes into the under, pitchers are more likely to get off to a successful start.