Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev Wimbledon Prediction, Odds, Tip

Taylor Fritz will face Alexander Zverev at Wimbledon. Our Wimbledon odds series includes our prediction and tip for Fritz Zverev. Find out how to watch Fritz Zverev.

The 2024 Wimbledon Championships are now in the fourth round, and Alexander Zverev has a big opportunity ahead of him. The biggest reason for Zverev to believe he can reach his first Wimbledon final and play for his first major tournament next Sunday (July 14) is that Novak Djokovic hasn’t exactly been dominant in Week 1 of the Championships. Djokovic is wearing a knee brace after undergoing a medical procedure to repair a torn meniscus he sustained at the French Open a month ago. Djokovic doesn’t look dramatically impaired or hampered, but at the same time, he’s also far from his very best tennis. If there’s an opportunity to play Djokovic in a potential Wimbledon semifinal, this year is it. Now is the time to drag Djokovic into a major semifinal. Zverev could get that chance. He is two wins away from reaching the semi-finals and a possible clash with Djokovic if the Serbian superstar can get his act together in his own way and reach the last four at the All-England Club. Zverev has a real chance of a long run here and his campaign continues with a showdown against Taylor Fritz on Monday.

These two men have met twice at Wimbledon, but not since 2021. Zverev has a 2-0 record in the two meetings, winning both times in four tough sets. The length of this match factors into the betting strategies we consider. Follow along to weigh up your options.

Here are the Taylor Fritz-Alexander Zverev Wimbledon odds, Courtesy of FanDuel.

Wimbledon odds: Taylor Fritz-Alexander Zverev odds

Game distribution

Fritz +2.5: -122
Zverev -2.5: -110

Money line

Fritz: +155
Zverev: -192

Win the first set

Fritz: +124
Zverev: -150

Total number of games in the game

Over 43.5: -118
Below 43.5: -112

Fritz over 21.5 games: -110
Fritz under 21.5 games: -122

Zverev after 22.5 games: -112
Zverev under 22.5 games: -118

How to watch Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

TV: ESPN

Stream: ESPN+

Time: Approximately 10:30 a.m. ET / 7:30 a.m. PT — game may start 45 minutes earlier or later depending on the length of the previous game

*Watch Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev LIVE on fuboTV (click here for a free trial)*

Why Taylor Fritz could cover the spread

Taylor Fritz could cover the spread primarily because he, rather than Zverev, gets 2.5 games. You could just as easily call this a head-to-head match—the odds aren’t far off that—but since Fritz gets a couple of games, that’s a buffer to think about. Let’s say Zverev wins in five sets. It could be that Zverev wins his three sets decisively and that Fritz wins his two sets more narrowly, but that’s hard to predict. Generally—in most cases—the number of games won by each player is nearly equal in a five-set match. If Zverev wins one of his three sets by the smallest possible margin, 7-6, that would significantly increase the chances of Fritz covering the spread, even if Zverev wins in five sets. Zverev would probably have to win a set 6-2 or 6-1 to cover the spread if he wins in five sets and wins one set in a tiebreak.

Here’s a very likely result for Zverev in five sets: 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 5-7, 6-3. Guess who covers the whole thing? Fritz. That’s a plus-2 lead for Zverev, so Fritz covers the 2.5-game spread. It’s possible Zverev could win a set 6-2 in this match, but that’s unlikely. If Fritz can easily win two sets — not even three — he probably covers the spread.

Why Alexander Zverev could cover the spread

Zverev has played a solid tournament and could definitely win this match in three or four sets. If he wins the match in fewer than five sets, he will likely win. A score of 7-6, 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 would cover the spread for Zverev with a plus-3 lead. Unless Zverev wins two sets by tiebreak, he should win if he can do so in no more than four sets.

Final prediction and selection for Taylor Fritz – Alexander Zverev

The best play here is total games. Yes, this match could easily go five sets, but if one player is leading two sets to one, the other player must win the fourth set to extend the match to five. As long as the four sets are not primarily 12 games (7-5) and one player can win the match in four sets, the lower limit should be sufficient.

Latest Taylor Fritz-Alexander Zverev Prediction & Tip: Match total under 43.5 games