Poll shows Trump 4 points ahead of Biden in Michigan

Rick Albin and Rachel Van Gilder

55 mins ago

GRAND RAPIDS, Michigan (WOOD) – A new poll shows former President Donald Trump with a four percentage point lead over President Joe Biden in Michigan about four months before the presidential election.

In the comparison between Biden and Trump, 49% of respondents said they would vote for Trump and 45% for Biden, the EPIC-MRA Survey Published Saturday morning.

With a margin of error of plus or minus 4%, the poll shows that the race remains close. The poll was conducted between June 21 and 26 and therefore does not reflect the impact of Presidential debate on Thursday.

Trump is in the lead in the race – but by a narrow margin. According to the Emerson College Polling/The Hill polls from last week, Trump had a one percentage point lead in Michigan.

When third-party candidates are included, both frontrunners lose ground: Trump falls to 41% and Biden to 38%. In this scenario, the race becomes one percentage point closer.

Some insight into why these numbers are so strong can be gained by looking at the poll’s approval rating question: Biden received an approval rating of 38% and Trump received 41%, reflecting poll results that include third-party candidates.

Biden received a negative rating of 57% and Trump 54%. That’s reminiscent of what has been seen in polls for two years: that many American voters would prefer another candidate. But with the party conventions approaching and third-party candidates trailing far behind Biden or Trump, the chances of another candidate emerging seem slim.

Of the 600 people surveyed by EPIC-MRA, 42% identified as Democrats, 42% as Republicans, and 13% as independents. 32% were between 50 and 64 years old, 29% were 65 or older, 21% were between 35 and 59 years old, and 18% were between 18 and 34 years old. 80% identified as white, 10% as black, 2% as Latino, and 1% each as Asian and Native American. The remaining 6% identified as other or multiple races or declined to answer.

The Michigan primary is on August 6. The general election is on November 5.

When asked how they would vote this year, 58 percent said they would vote in person on Election Day and 33 percent said they would vote by mail. Only 4 percent said they would take advantage of the nine days Michigan allows early voting in person, which is now required by law.