The last five NFL Offensive Rookies of the Year awards have gone to quarterbacks and receivers, and there’s a good chance that trend will continue this season.
The 12 rookies with the lowest chances of winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award this year are either quarterbacks or receivers.
The 2 favorites are quarterbacks, but Arizona Cardinals WR Marvin Harrison Jr. is in a good position to deliver both award-worthy numbers and good value.
Below we analyze the Odds for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2024 from BetMGM Sportsbook and make the best suggestion among the tips and predictions of our NFL experts.
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Odds for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2024
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; for a complete list visit the USA TODAY sports scores and betting odds hub. Odds last updated at 3:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 17.
- QB Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears (+125)
- QB Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders (+600)
- WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals (+750)
- WR Malik Nabers, New York Giants (+1600)
- QB JJ McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings (+1800)
- QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos (+1800)
NOTEWORTHY
+3000: WR Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears
+4000: RB Trey Benson, Arizona Cardinals
+25000: WR Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders
For the full list, visit the BetMGM Sportsbook.
Best bet on the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals (+750)
In terms of potentially winning bets, only two players really make sense – Williams and Harrison.
Daniels plays for a team that will likely finish last in Washington. There are enough doubts about how much Nabers can produce at QB Daniel Jones throw him the ball. McCarthy probably won’t begin the season as Minnesota’s starter, so he will play fewer games.
That leaves Williams and Harrison as the two really solid candidates. Williams is the favorite because he comes to a team that won 7 games last season, had a defense that allowed less than 18 points per game over the last 9 games, and has an offensive group that includes RB D’Andre SwiftTE Cole Kmet and WRs Keenan Allen, DJ Moore And Rome Odunze.
Of course, he is the favorite at +125 and therefore not nearly as valuable as Harrison.
Harrison joins a Cardinals offense that was in the top 10 in efficiency after the QB Kyler Murray’s Return. Harrison will be the Cardinals’ first choice as receiver and will offer many options. Because TE Trey McBride proved to be a real threat to the pass catcher and WR with 81 pass catches last season Michael Wilson 565 yards of gain, the defense won’t have to just focus on the rookie from Ohio State. Plus, the Cardinals had the fourth-best running attack in the league last season, so Harrison’s style of play will provide balance.
It is not impossible to reach more than 1,100 or 1,200 receiving yards.
Last season, Los Angeles Rams WR Puka Nacua set rookie records with 105 receptions for 1,486 yards and did not win the award because Houston Texans QB CJ Stroud had an exceptional season, leading a team that was considered perhaps the worst in football to the division title.
Every great rookie receiver season is topped by a special rookie quarterback season. But will Williams have a special rookie season for the Bears? It’s possible.
Williams is a good bet, but he’s not a lucrative wager, so Harrison offers you the best value for a very likely winning ticket.
BET ON MARVIN HARRISON JR. win NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (+750).
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