Prediction for Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox. Series Game 3 Singer, Bello Sunday Pitchers Preview

Details of the matches in the third game of today’s series

Kansas City Royals at the Boston Red Sox Series Game 3
Pitcher on Sunday night: Royals Singer, Bello Red Sox
Today’s game is on Sunday, July 14
14/07/24 1:35:00 PM EST First Pitch @FenwayPark

Prediction for today’s Royals vs Red Sox game

As the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals prepare for Game 3 of their series on July 14, 2024 at Fenway Park, both teams find themselves in exciting situations. The Red Sox have had a solid season with a 52-42 record and are currently well placed in the standings. Meanwhile, the Royals also have an above-average record at 52-44, so this American League matchup will have playoff implications. On the mound for Boston will be Brayan Bello, a right-handed pitcher who currently ranks 67th among MLB starters according to advanced stats, suggesting he is above average despite some bad luck this season. Bello’s ERA is 5.40###101, but his xFIP of 3.68 suggests he may have had some bad luck and could perform better in the future. Bello’s season record is 9-5 in 16 starts, and he’s expected to pitch 5.8 innings today. Opposite him is another right-hander, Brady Singer of the Royals, who ranks 83rd among MLB starters. Singer has an impressive 2.93 ERA this year, though his xFIP of 3.60 suggests he’s benefited from some luck. Singer has a 5-5 record in 18 starts and is expected to pitch 5.5 innings in this game. Offensively, the Red Sox have the 8th best batting order in MLB, they boast a team-ranking 8th in home runs, and also display strong base-running ability with the 6th most stolen bases. Wilyer Abreu has been shining lately, batting .313 with a 1.181 OPS over the last week, including two home runs and seven RBIs. The Royals’ lineup ranks 15th best, showing average hitting power (16th in home runs) but solid baserunning ability (7th in stolen bases). MJ Melendez has been on top form over the last seven days, recording five hits and three home runs with a 1.089 OPS. The Red Sox bullpen has struggled, ranking 27th, while the Royals’ relievers are doing a little better at 21st. Both bullpens have clear weaknesses, however, which could impact a high-scoring game. The betting market puts Boston’s moneyline at -130 and Kansas City’s at +110, suggesting a closely contested matchup with a game score of 9.5 runs.

Explanation of the prediction for Game 3 of the Sunday Series for the Royals vs. Red Sox duel

Over his last 3 starts, Brady Singer has seen a significant jump in the spin rate of his fastball: from 2240 RPM all season to 2292 RPM recently., Brady Singer – Over/Under Strikeouts, Hitters like Salvador Perez with extreme flyball tendencies are typically more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who tend to be more toward the groundball end of the spectrum., Salvador Perez – Over/Under Total Bases, According to the leading forecasting system (THE BAT), the Kansas City Royals bullpen is projected to be the 10th worst of all MLB teams., Kansas City Royals – 2H Moneyline, Given that flyball hitters have a significant advantage over groundball pitchers, Brayan Bello’s underlying GB% of 51.9% (according to the leading forecasting system THE BAT) puts him in a tough spot coming into this game, as he’s facing 1 opposing GB batter., Brayan Bello – Over/Under Strikeouts, Wilyer Abreu has hit primarily in the top half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but in this matchup he is scheduled to be 6th in the batting order., Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under Hits, Dominic Smith hits a lot of his fly balls to center field (39.3% – 96th percentile) and is a great addition to the park considering he will be hitting the third-flattest CF fences in the league in today’s matchup., Dominic Smith – Over/Under Total Bases

Spin rate is a key element to a fastball’s success when it comes to getting strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher with a worse spin rate will likely also have worse results. This has mostly to do with the way the batter’s swing plane interacts with the trajectory of the throw, and can lead to increased performance in all categories and hidden value that few consider. Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen secretly gives the opposing offense an easier matchup and increases a game’s runs. This has mostly to do with the way the batter’s swing plane interacts with the trajectory of the throw, and can lead to decreased performance in all categories and hidden value that few consider. The further down in the order a player bats, the fewer batting appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to reach the over in each market. A player batting lower in the order than usual can offer an additional value opportunity as the market may be expecting him to bat higher. This player’s skillset is particularly well suited to the park he is in today, which may result in a better than usual performance.